What Forces Drive the Real Estate Market of Kazakhstan?
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Date
2008
Authors
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
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Publisher
Suleyman Demirel University
Abstract
This paper analyzes the key economic and structural forces shaping the real estate market of Kazakhstan, with a particular focus on Almaty. Over the last decade, rapid GDP growth, rising oil revenues, foreign capital inflows, and the expansion of mortgage lending have significantly stimulated demand for housing. At the same time, speculative activity and the absence of strict regulatory mechanisms contributed to sharp price increases, especially during the 2004–2007 boom. The study evaluates both demand-side factors—economic growth, demographics, household income, banking sector activity, investment motives, and fiscal policy—and supply-side factors such as construction costs, government regulations, and expected returns. Using regression analysis, the research identifies the relative impact of these variables on price formation. Findings show that mortgage lending, bank investment, and income levels are among the strongest drivers of housing prices in Almaty.
Description
Keywords
Kazakhstan real estate market, housing prices, mortgage lending, economic growth, speculative activity, construction sector, price drivers, regression analysis, oil revenues
Citation
Maxim Kononov / What Forces Drive the Real Estate Market of Kazakhstan? / Suleyman Demirel University / Сду хабаршысы, 2008